Boston Bruins: Slim Chance At Draft Lottery

Mar 15, 2016; San Jose, CA, USA; A Boston Bruins fan holds a sign during the game against the San Jose Sharks in the 2nd period at SAP Center at San Jose. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports.
Mar 15, 2016; San Jose, CA, USA; A Boston Bruins fan holds a sign during the game against the San Jose Sharks in the 2nd period at SAP Center at San Jose. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports.

The Boston Bruins are eagerly awaiting the upcoming 2016 Draft Lottery. The Bruins are hoping for a high pick so they can start planning the future of the franchise. For the second year in a row, the Boston Bruins were the last team to be eliminated from the playoffs.  The Bruins are slated to get the 14th overall pick this year, but there is a chance the Black and Gold may find themselves a lot higher up in the draft pool.

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At the moment the Bruins have a scant one percent chance of winning the top overall draft pick. A one percent chance.  Not exactly encouraging. Once again the Edmonton Oilers find themselves in the position of snagging yet another number one draft pick. Only the Toronto Maple Leafs have a better chance than they do.

The Bruins still have a 3.4% chance of getting one of the top three picks this year. Here’s how it breaks down for the Black and Gold.

Scenario 1: If the Bruins don’t get the number one pick, then the Bruins best chances of getting the second pick come if the Toronto Maple Leafs win the the first overall pick.  If that happens, then the Bruins would then have a 1.25% chance at the second overall pick.(That’s a marginal increase from the 1.1% chance they would get.)

Scenario 2: If the Bruins don’t end up with the second pick, then the B’s best chances of drawing the third pick happen if the Edmonton Oilers get the second pick.  If that happens then the Black and Gold get a 1.5% chance at the third overall pick. (Slightly better than the 1.3% chance they have normally.

Scenario 3: The remaining eleven teams that don’t get one of the first three selections will be rated in the draft according to points scored that season. As the Bruins had the most amount of points for a team that did not make the playoffs (again), they will receive the 14th pick if they don’t get one of the top three.

Here is how the other 99 percent breaks down according to teams:

Toronto Maple Leafs                20.0%

Edmonton Oilers                       13.5%

Vancouver Canucks                  11.5%

Columbus Blue Jackets            9.5%

Calgary Flames                          8.5%

Winnipeg Jets                            7.5%

Arizona Coyotes                        6.5%

Buffalo Sabres                           6.0%

Montreal Canadiens                 5.0%

Colorado Avalanche                 3.5%

New Jersey Devils                    3.0%

Ottawa Senators                       2.5%

Carolina Hurricanes               2.0%

It’s a shame that teams that find themselves perpetually out of the playoffs always seem to get great picks and then proceed to do nothing with them. The Oilers could get yet another top pick(which they’ll likely waste on some kind of phenom that doesn’t like playing there or just can’t play at the NHL level.)

As for the Bruins, the odds aren’t great here. Even in a best case scenario were looking at one-plus percent chance. The Bruins will need a little luck, but it would be nice to see the Bruins get a high draft pick.